As the nation waits breathlessly to play the State of the Union drinking game tonight, the preznit's approval rating has dropped to 28% according to this CBS poll. I'm amazed that it's still that high. Two thirds of the country is dead set against his plan to escalate this war, but he's doing it anyway. Americans don't like being told they don't know what they're talking about, especially by a guy who even his staunchest supporters will admit is just not too fucking bright. He'll use his speech tonight to try to shore up support for his never-ending War on Terra, but I'm guessing he's not going to get much of a boost. This turd is circling the bowl and the American public is finally waking up. When The Surge goes badly (and honestly, don't we all know it's going to?), I'm betting dubya will start pointing fingers and blame everyone from his puppet government and new military leaders in Iraq to Congress and the media in the US. If I'm right, that will pretty much be the end of him. He's becoming more transparent every day. This next failure will seal his legacy as the clueless, arrogant, spoiled little man that he is.

The pundits are all saying that he will largely avoid the topic of Iraq in his speech and concentrate more on domestic issues. Here are my predictions for what he'll talk about tonight:

1) He'll talk about Iraq first to get it out of the way, just hitting the highlights. He'll introduce his new commanders on the ground and describe The Surge as the only way to keep Iraq's vast oil wealth out of the hands of terrorists or jihadists or insurgents and ensure victory for Amurka in the War on Terra. He'll take a quick back-handed shot at his critics by saying that disagreeing with him emboldens our enemies.

2) He'll say he's looking forward to working with the new Democrat-controlled Congress in a bipartisan manner. He'll use the minimum wage hike as an example and suggest tax cuts for the employers who will pay the new minimum wage.

3) He'll take credit for the stock market gains and suggest making his tax cuts permanent to keep the economy rolling.

4) He'll talk about immigration reform and his legalized slavery guest worker program and use the phrase "our friends to the south." He'll also suggest tax incentives for businesses that hire the guest workers.

5) He'll make some grand statements about a not-quite-ready-to-release-but-in-the-finishing-stage proposal for cleaning up the environment. He may use the phrase "clean coal technology." A few days after the speech, this new proposal will be revealed as nothing but more tax cuts for the fossil fuels industry.

6) He'll make some "bold" new proposal on health care that will basically be stolen from the Democrats, but will differ in that it will include a lot of deficit spending and some kind of tax incentives for health care providers and/or pharmaceutical companies.

7) Since it was such a big hit last year, he'll revisit the bit about America's addiction to oil and suggest tax breaks for ethanol producers.

Rather than play the drinking game I linked to above, I'm going to play my own game. I'm going to take a drink every time the preznit uses one of the phrases I've highlighted in red, and every time he hits one of my 7 overall predictions perfectly I'm going to chug a can of cheap beer and eat a boiled (maybe even pickled) egg. That way if I have a successful evening, I'll be able to share it with the people I work with tomorrow.